Quote (sir_lance_bb @ Sun - May 2 2010 - 22:04:08)
Just like to mention you have been doing a terrible job betting rew.
that's why i called my bets underdog bets
i didn't expect to win either series but i wanted the bucks and thunder to prevail. not all bets are made to win. the other bet i have up is ftw, though. i'm not a basketball insider or expert, but i predict almost every series right (in terms of actual prediction). the only series that i would've guessed the other way so far in the nba playoffs in the 1st round nuggets vs jazz series IF george carl would've been coaching -- and it would've been a toos-up anyway (not something i'd wager on for $ or anything). i think the nuggets are better than the jazz, but deron williams is not an easy guard to dictate tempo etc against. the nuggets need to gel a bit better, and i think anthony still takes quarters off.
the celts are an underdog team that could pull a huge upset against the cavs. they have a lot of talent and they work well as a team (and they play defense). but i think the cavs are just flat-out better. they have a LOT of valuable pieces they can shift around, and teams with staggering depth usually go a few rounds into the playoffs. the celtics aren't just older than they were when they won it all; they also have a relatively shallow bench. robinson has showboating issues but i think he's done well in his new role. what's-his-face (daniels) with the dreads is a good utility guy but parker is a better utility guy for the cavs. sheed hasn't produced. i think the celtics may have screwed up buy taking robinson and wallace, since both have need to ADJUST their attitudes to be good team players; robinson is mor eof a 1-on-1 guy, and sheed isn't as active as he was in the past.
i can't cheer against the celtics but i'm cheering for the cavs more.
i think the suns and spurs is a do-or-die series for the suns as a team in general. if they can't beat the spurs now, when will they ever get it done? nash may have a few good years left in him (and hill, too), but they aren't a spring chicken squad. the suns can control the tempo of the series, and they NEED to keep it at a high pace. the spurs can't really break out in transition because parker/genobli/hill are the only guys they can get on the move. the suns need t hit 3s and run like hell. in the hlaf court, i think they will need some help in the fwd positions. amare can take care of business but otherwise the suns need to get better inside. hill is a great half court defender, and i think barbosa can be pretty good, but the suns will have holes on defense no matter who they put in. so they will need to stay in front of genobli/parker and force the spurs to either dump it down and (force duncan to) make a decision or risk losimng the ball due to active hands from the suns.
the suns just need to keep genobli and parker out of the key, and then on offense if they can race and shoot they will win the series. that's why coachescare so much about tempo ... with teams as different as the spurs and suns, tempo is everything.